Any good high-stakes drafter (like you, of course) knows that preseason draft ADP (average draft position) lists are an invaluable tool while preparing for your own drafts. We at RotoSaurus use the National Fantasy Football Championship (NFFC) as our primary source of ADP information, mainly because their contests are both for large monetary prizes and uninfluenced by their own pre-ranking system. We have found (and it”s the same with baseball) that when fantasy owners create their own rankings and tiers, the results of those drafts are much more true to where players SHOULD actually be taken. Now, every NFFC draft is different, but their averages are much more useful in the long run than, say, Mock Draft Central, which is a site that has a preranked list of draftable players. Not that MDC isn”t another useful source of ADP info; we still use their results as well. However, you always have to take their lists grano salis.

Using lists from these two sites, I would like to take a look at a few players whom I feel should be drafted a little differently than their ADP is indicating right now (whether that is up or down). As always on this site, we will look at things through our PPR lenses. Come with me on this monumental journey, won”t you?

Undervalued: TEs Jimmy Graham, Saints (NFFC: 18, MDC: 22), and Jason Witten, Cowboys (NFFC: 53, MDC: 57)

I am confused by how low Graham is going in PPR leagues, but Witten is downright baffling. I”ve never been a huge proponent of drafting tight ends early, but these two guys are reliable, heavily-targeted options for their QBs. Graham and Witten were targeted 135 and 150 times in 2012, respectively, and there is no reason at all to believe that these numbers will drop much, if any. The only other TE that was targeted more than 105 times was old man Tony Gonzalez! Do I need to continue? OK, I will! Graham played almost all of last year with major wrist pain that caused a number of drops; surgery has since corrected that and he is 100% healthy now. His 85/982/9 line from last year is the floor, people. The guy went for 99/1310/11 in the 2011 season. Witten hasn”t had less than 940 receiving yards in the last six seasons, and he”s missed one game in his ten-year career. These guys are essentially #1/2 wideouts that you can play at TE; there are a number of great WR this year. Draft one of these guys early.

Overvalued: RB Darren McFadden, Raiders (NFFC: 29, MDC: 35)

Run DMC”s draft stock has fallen a little bit since LT Jared Veldheer”s triceps injury, but not nearly enough for my liking. Veldheer will miss at least half of the season, leaving revolving door Alex Barron as his replacement on the left edge. You can couple the bad offensive line situation with the fact that McFadden still has not played more than 13 games in any of his five seasons, all of which gives you a back to stay away from on draft day. The Raiders” coaches have overtly stated that they have to change their offensive gameplan with Barron at LT, and Matt Flynn”s arm isn”t scaring any NFL defenses. There are better options like David Wilson, Stevan Ridley, and Frank Gore that should be available after McFadden gets taken; target one of them instead.

Undervalued: RB DeAngelo Williams, Panthers (NFFC: 107, MDC: 125)

I know how this looks, but hear me out. I will admit that DeAngelo hasn”t looked all that great this preseason, but I have my reasons for this one. First off, Jonathan Stewart (feet, ankles) is nowhere near playing Week 1, as he hasn”t even left the stationary bike this preseason. The coaches are coming to grips with the fact that he is probably going to have to start the season on the PUP list. With Stewart out until midseason, Williams is the unquestioned workhorse back for the Panthers. Cam Newton will obviously run the ball as well, but you can expect DeAngelo to get 15-18 carries and a couple catches a game, with plenty of opportunities in the red-zone. In addition, former aerial-assaultist OC Rob 2 justin-bieber-news.info Bieber”s new single The thing is that in fact, the best-data-recovery.com when deleting remain on the media, just their Windows does not display and no longer take care about their safety. “Boyfriend” debuts at no. Chudzinski is now coaching the Browns, and new OC Mike Shula is going to run a much more simplified offensive scheme; read: more running plays and quick hits. DeAngelo is currently the 38th running back off the board in NFFC drafts, but he”s starting to casino online climb. I”d say he”s worth a ninth or tenth-round pick.

Overvalued: WR Danny Amendola, Patriots (NFFC: 44, MDC: 45)

Amendola has shown that he can be a high-reception guy, and the fact that he is now paired up with Tom Brady has fantasy drafters salivating. That said, I feel like all these people are ignoring the glaring number of negatives and concerns that come with this guy. To start off, he”s 5″11″ and has never remotely been considered a red-zone target (he has never compiled more than 3 TDs in a season). His last two seasons, he has played a total of 12 games due to injuries, and he is currently nursing another Belichickian “undisclosed” injury that the Hoodie has called “no cause for concern.” Everyone knows about the head coach”s tendencies for playing injury games, but you still have to wonder about a guy on whom you”re spending a fourth-round pick. Amendola”s highest season of receiving yards is 689 in 2010, the year he had 85 receptions, which is good for an 8.1 YPC average. 8.1!! He has two career 100-yard games in four seasons in the NFL. Everyone, cool your jets…can you really justify inserting an injury-prone slot receiver who has a ton to prove as your #2 WR just because he”s now on Tom Brady”s team? Danny Amendola is not Wes Welker. Draft players like Dwayne Bowe and Marques Colston instead.

Undervalued: WR Josh Gordon, Browns (NFFC: 88, MDC: 94)

I still cannot for the life of me believe where Gordon is going in fantasy drafts. Nevermind the fact that all three of us at RotoSaurus Football are Browns fans (pity us); that”s irrelevant. This dude is scary talented, and his two-game suspension has owners undervaluing him quite a bit. He runs great routes, makes difficult catches look routine, and is now in a new, improved offensive scheme. The new Browns O under coach Chud is definitely tuned toward maximizing the output of his skill position players, of which Gordon is the #1 WR. Gordon is 6″4″ and his long strides make him a great deep threat; he averaged 16.1 YPC on 50 receptions last year in the God-awful WC offense of Pat Shurmur. Brandon Weeden has the arm to get the ball to Gordon deep; plan on being the savvy owner who takes advantage of Gordon”s 8th/9th-round ADP (39th WR off the board in the NFFC!). You”ll be blessed with 14 games of a #1/2 caliber fantasy wideout.

Undervalued: K Josh Brown, Giants (NFFC: 222, MDC: NR)
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Just kidding. Gotcha, lol